The chart lies about horses who never got a fair shake. The tote prices drivers and trainers. We price the horse, then price the trip it's likely to get.
A weighted speed rating that leans on the mean, respects the last, and pays for improvement instead of averaging it away. Rising horses get credit before the crowd sees it.
A horse buried in traffic never earns the number it ran. Claw-Back reads the line, recovers the suppressed figure, and returns an adjusted rating with a confidence score attached.
Every horse gets a win rate for each seat it could take, then a probability of actually getting there. Multiply, sum, and the fair line falls out of the trip instead of the reputation.
The board posts at 6:15. Pick up where you left off.
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