// FAQ

Questions, answered.

Why "ToteBreak.App"?

The break is the couple of minutes where the money actually shows up and the board stops telling you what the crowd thinks and starts telling you what it did. Our number is set before that. Yours should be too — the drift arrows are there so you can see who got bet and decide whether the money knows something the figures don't.

What is COW%?

A horse's share of the total rating in its race — a relative figure share, not a calibrated win probability. It tells you how far clear a horse is of the field on the numbers. The fair odds column is where that share becomes a price.

What does Claw-Back actually do?

It reads the line of a horse whose figure was suppressed by the trip — stuck behind a tiring horse, parked the whole way, shuffled at the half — and recovers the number it should have earned. Every adjustment ships with a confidence score so you can see how much is measured and how much is inferred.

How is the fair line calculated?

Each horse gets a win rate for every seat it could take and a probability of getting that seat. Multiply and sum across all eight seats and you have a win probability, which becomes a price. That's why a horse can be third on raw figures and first on the board.

Do you handicap thoroughbreds too?

Yes. Harness is the home discipline and gets the full trip model. The thoroughbred module runs figures and Claw-Back on Equibase programs, with the trip layer limited to pace shape.

What happens when the board is wrong?

It goes on the record with the reason. The misses are on the same table as the wins and they're never quietly removed. When a miss exposes a real flaw, the fix gets written up in the desk notes.

Is this a betting site?

No. Nothing here accepts a wager or holds money. You get the board and the fair line; you bet wherever you already play.

How do I cancel?

From your account, one click, no phone call. Access runs through the end of the period you already paid for.

// THE LANGUAGE OF THE BOARD

Six words you'll see every night.

Nothing on the board is a black box. If a column is on the screen, it's defined here.

COW%

A horse's share of the total rating in its race. A relative figure share, not a calibrated win probability.

TD

The weighted speed rating. Leans on the mean, respects the last race, and pays for improvement instead of averaging it away.

Claw-Back

The adjustment that recovers a figure the trip suppressed. Ships with a confidence score so you can see how much is inferred.

The Shelf

The cutoff line on the board. Above it is the live group; below it, the model says you're paying for hope.

Seat

Where a horse ends up in the flow — front end, pocket, first over, second over, rail. Each one carries its own win rate.

Drift

Movement between tote flashes. Green means the price is running away from the money; red means it's getting bet.